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Tuesday, November 20, 2007

FAN BASE

UPDATE - 4:15 P.M.

Horse of the Year from several seasons ago, WAKE AT NOON, who was vanned off after the Kennedy Road Stakes on Sunday (he's now a 10yo) is headed home according to his farm, Select Stud in Kettleby Ontario. The horse reportedly is sore "up front" and could have a tendon or suspensory injury.
Wake at Noon has 3yo offspring of this year and his first full crop are to be yearlings of 2008.

SmileyCentral.com

SOVEREIGN AWARD PREVIEWS START TODAY

SEND YOUR COMMENTS!!


CHAMPION SPRINTER IN CANADA – OUTSTANDING JOCKEY/APPRENTICE JOCKEY

Voters across Canada (media and industry members only) will be debating soon as the ballots get ready to be sent out at the end of this month for the Sovereign Awards – to be given out on Dec. 14 in downtown Toronto.

THOROUGHBLOG will start offer mini-previews and, hopefully, fire up debates, on categories each day.

Today, the champion sprinter and jockey and apprentice jock will be discussed:


SPRINTER

Sunday’s Kennedy Road Stakes was supposed to tell us a bit more but all it did was mess things up as invader CONNECTIONS won.

Do you vote on a horse’s record, Beyer Speed Figures, purses, longevity?

Here are some thoughts:


STRADIVINSKY

WON the Jacques Cartier over Judith’s Wild Rush (where did he go?) with a 100 Beyer;

WON Highlander prep on turf and

3rd in Highlander Stakes.


JUST RUSHING –

WON Vigil Stakes Grade 3 with 96 Beyer Figure;

2nd Bold Venture Stakes;

2nd Play the King Stakes Grade 2;

3rd Kennedy Road Grade 3

3rd Mt. Sassafras Stakes


FINANCINGAVAILABLE

WON BALLADE STAKES – 101 Beyer

WON ONTARIO FASHION Stakes – 96 Beyer

2nd Royal North Stakes Grade 2

2nd Seaway Stakes Grade 3

Others you could consider are the 3yo’s LEGAL MOVE, DANCER’S BAJAN, plus MAIN EXECUTIVE, DAVE THE KNAVE..what do you think??


OUTSTANDING JOCKEY


It seems as if Patrick Husbands has this locked up (will he attend this year having boycotted for the last umpteen editions?) based on stakes wins, earnings and he is still leading by wins (see below)

Emma-Jayne Wilson had a super year in her first full season as a journeyman and she won the QUEEN’S PLATE on Mike Fox.

Emile Ramsammy had another big year too.


APPRENTICE JOCKEY

Tyler Pizarro, still in the battle for leading jockey overall by wins, will win unanimously.


ANOTHER HORSE RACE! JOCKS ARE GOING TO THE WIRE!!

Patrick Husbands 630 131 125 80 $8,397,322

Tyler Pizarro 875 123 121 99 $5,212,409

Emma-Jayne Wilson 895 120 131 128 $7,524,481

Emile Ramsammy 728 115 82 76 $5,242,493

ANDERSON FARMS LEADS ALL CONSIGNORS BY AVERAGE AT KEENELAND

Bob Anderson’s Anderson Farms sold 9 horses for an average of $396,667 (US) on during the recently completed Keeneland November sale yesterday to lead all consignors.

Leading the bunch was HATPIN, which Anderson sold for Sam-Son Farms for $1,050,000.


From Ocala.com - TRUE METROPOLITAN TRIBUTES

Florida-bred shining up north

BY BILL GIAUQUE

Winning the $150,000 Autumn Stakes (Canada gr. 3) Saturday, Florida-bred True Metropolitan made a statement in his effort to repeat as champion older horse in Canada.

Bred in Florida by Frank Bertolino, the gelded son of Proud and True recorded his seventh win of 2007, including six stakes wins.

Coming to the Autumn Stakes, True Metropolitan was trying to rebound off a neck loss in the Premier Handicap (Can.gr. 3) at HastingsParkin British Columbia. Prior to that True Metropolitan ran off three consecutive stakes wins.

He has now won 16 times in 33 starts for earnings in excess of $850,000.

Proud and True, the regally bred sire of True Metropolitan, stands at Don Dizney's Double Diamond Farm in Ocala for $2,500. Proud and True is a son of super sire Mr. Prospector, and he is out of Personal Ensign, a champion older mare and broodmare of the year.

Personal Ensign earned $1.6 million and retired undefeated in 13 starts. She climaxed her racing career with an incredible come-from-behind victory over Kentucky Derby winner Winning Colors in the Breeders' Cup Distaff (gr. 1).

At stud, she produced My Flag, a filly that won $1.5 million, but was never named a champion; Miner's Mark, a Grade 1 winner of $967,170 and a stallion that once stood in Florida; Traditionally, a Grade 1 winner of $495,660; Our Emblem, the sire of Kentucky Derby winner War Emblem; in addition to Proud and True, who placed in the Baltimore Breeders' Cup Handicap.

Now that Thanksgiving is near we are nearing a verdict on the leading Florida stallions. Macho Uno is currently the leading Florida freshman sire with more than a million in progeny earnings.

Macho Uno, a champion 2-year-old and winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (gr. 1), stood at Frank Stronach's Adena Springs South. He has two stakes winners from 64 2-year-olds in his first crop to race, including Wicked Style, winner of the Grade 1 Lane's End Breeders' Futurity.

Because of his success, the son of Holy Bull is scheduled to stand the 2008 breeding season in Kentucky at Adena Springs Kentucky.

The only stallion that could threaten Macho Uno's title is D'wildcat, a son of Forest Wildcat standing at Vinery Stud, near Summerfield. D'wildcat has two stakes winners from only 39 two-year-olds in his first crop.

His daughter Authenicat won the Victorian Queen Stakes and placed in the Pocahontas Stakes (gr. 3). Another daughter The Golden Noodle won the Landaluce Stakes and placed in the Moccasin Stakes.

D'wildcat has progeny earnings of $701,694. On the race track, D'wildcat won the Grade 1 Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash Stakes and $570,444. He stands for $6,500.

In third place, another Vinery stallion Repent has one stakes winner from 70 2-year-olds in his first crop. A son of Louis Quatorze, Repent is represented by stakes winning colt Atoned, winner of the Continental Mile Stakes.

Repent has progeny earnings of $474,317.

Trippi, a son of End Sweep standing at Mike O'Farrell's Ocala Stud, appears to be on his way to the leading Florida sire title with more than $4 million in progeny earnings.

A winner of the Grade 1 Vosburgh Stakes and $666,220, Trippi has five stakes winners in 2007, led by Miss Macy Sue, a stakes winner of $546,217.

Trippi's closest pursuer is fellow Ocala Stud sire Montbrook who trails Trippi by about $1 million.

The son of Buckaroo has been Florida's leading sire before stands for $15,000. His three 2007 stakes winners include Phantom Income, winner of the NATC Futurity.

THE MORNING LINE


More than one reader has asked for an explanation on how I come up with the MORNING LINE ODDS for Woodbine.

Here is a brief description of my process:


Overview of a race – narrow it down to 3 horses that the PUBLIC will like based on finish position last time, trainer, rider, Beyer Figure, class etc.

Using the percentages formula (5 to 2 odds translates into 29 percentage points), assign odds to each horse.

Add up the points and them massage so that total lands around 119-124 (not 100%, must take into account take-out on each dollar by government)

Hope this helps, please write again if you have more questions.

17 Comments:

  • At 9:19 AM, Anonymous Steve said…

    Thanks for your morning line formula. Not out of line and certainly simple to understand.

     
  • At 10:28 AM, Anonymous KG said…

    Thank you for the morning line explanation. As far as the Sovereign and Eclipse awards go I look at the categories and nominees and use the following theory:
    Horses - I take each nominee and in my mind I think about who would win in a match race and the winner of the race is who my vote goes to.

    Jockeys and Trainers - simple - most wins takes the prize.

    Using the above as a guide I would have to choose Financingavailble as the winner of the sprint division, Pizarro wins apprentice and right now Husbands wins for the jocks.

    Comments or other ideas?

     
  • At 10:45 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Re: Sovereign awards for jockeys.
    Didn't know Patrick Husbands had boycotted previous award ceremonies. Can Ms. Morrison shed any light as to why? Did Husbands feel slighted and was he?
    Would appreciate any info.

     
  • At 10:58 AM, Blogger Jen Morrison said…

    Patrick Husbands has been mad that years ago, when he was nominated one year, his table was behind a pole at the dinner.
    It was a long time ago - I'm sure he will show up this year since the guy that essentially got him the award this year, Mark Casse, is likely going to win trainer of the year.

     
  • At 11:47 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Ms. Morrison, many thanks for the info re: Husbands. Seems like he had a point. If one is nominated, quite rightly, there's a definite expectation of appropriate seating.

     
  • At 12:05 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I am a horse player and a rider--I have worked with horses for over 20 years, many of them retired thoroughbreds.

    I don't have a problem with an older horse racing. One of the complaints about racing these days is that old champions retire too early to the breeding shed. It's nice to see some of these guys still on the track when they're 5 or 6. As long as they're sound and still performing well and enjoying themselves, I don't have a problem with it.

    That said, the way a horse like Wake At Noon--and equally George Washington--has been handled is completely irresponsible. You can't start and stop on a horse like this, especially a 10 year old who is obviously not the horse he was when he was winning stakes years ago. Yes, he won at the Fort, but there is a huge difference between that race and the stakes he was contending in years ago. Constantly "deconditioning" and then "reconditioning" a horse puts a huge amount of strain on their bodies. It's different if a horse remains in training over a number of years, as they stay fit and are generally stronger, but to retire a horse multiple times and bring him back, that is asking for trouble.

    No one wants to see a horse--any horse--break down on the track. It's so often dismissed as just part of the sport, but that's a callous point of view.

    We don't need another Incitatus incident here in Canada. Our champions of years past deserve more respect.

     
  • At 4:44 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Re. your update. Hope the connections of Wake At Noon accept that this should be a career ending injury and let him resume his stallion duties or failing that maybe someone will give him a chance to just be a horse.

     
  • At 8:03 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Mr. Bruno Schikendanz should be absolutly ashamed of himself for demanding "Wake at Noon" run in that stake race. I hope he felt as awful as the horse did watching that beautiful animal being vanned off the track!!! Greed, Greed, Greed....shame.

     
  • At 8:44 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I have to agree with all the comments about "Wake at Noon".He has done his job...let him just be a horse. too bad for him though.. winters here and he will probably be looking at a lot of stall rest!God Bless him..

     
  • At 10:20 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Yes I agree Patrick Husbands is having a good year, thanks Mark Casse, but what when it comes to the Sovereign Award for jockey this is what I'd like to see it based on: What a jockey does on horse that's 15-1 rather than 2-1 When your on a lot of "live" mounts like both Patrick and Tyler you're going to get a lot of wins, I think it takes a lot more skill and talent to bring the 15-1 across the line first. When they're both not on the fav. they're not always in the money. Just my opinion that's all.

     
  • At 11:46 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Here's another suggestion for Wake At Noon: if he's not happy at the farm or not thriving at stud, when he's recovered from this injury, why not bring him back to the track as a lead/stable pony? It has worked for Kona Gold and Funny Cide. That way he can have the best of both worlds.

     
  • At 5:54 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    10:20pm,
    It's kinda hard to judge who should be 15-1 when the Morning Line Odds are so horribly off. How does a 12-1 M/L go to the 5-2 favorite with no scratches and no major changes to the race? It's really a horses ability in the end.

     
  • At 7:03 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Wow, what is with people? Patrick is a phenomenal rider and deserves respect and this honour. He rides for Mark Casse because they have developed a strong and long term working relationship that has been very successful. There is an obvious and deserved dedication between them that you don't see enough of in this sport.
    He rides 2-1 shots because he has earned them. He probably has the choice between 2-1 shots and 15-1 shots in the same races but his agent's job is to pick the logical choice and best chance to win.
    Can't people give credit where credit is due and acknowledge someone's accomplishments. Hey Patrick, congratulations !!!
    And as for Wake at Noon, just like reading the racing form, past performance speaks volumes - Well done Bruno, you did it again!! Squeezed the lemon dry !!! And unfortunately again, no reprecussions for you and your horse ends up suffering. You are a disgrace to horsemanship.

     
  • At 7:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Getting back to wake at noon. Mark Fournier runs his barn like a circus. He is not a true horseman at all . All he is a puppet for bruno.

     
  • At 1:54 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Very true, and bruno likes that, he pays $40 a horse and finds a sucker!! bruno has finished off more trainers than 'make' a trainer, all founier is, is a lamb for the slaughter.

     
  • At 3:22 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I think Bruno should be ashamed of himself for what he has done to a horse that was so good to him. But he doesn't get and never well. I don't think you can blame Mark much, I don't know to many trainers at Fort Erie that would turn Bruno down he pays and he wins alot of races.

     
  • At 6:18 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Bruno does not pay $40.00 a day per horse. He gives his horses to anybody who will take them and does it cheap. When you have alot of horses you will win races it dosnt matter who you are. All bruno cares about is being leading owner.

     

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