MOVIN, SHAKIN
NOTE...THOROUGHBLOG will not likely be updating Sunday - out of town....
GRAPEVINE MATTERS
LIKE MOM LIKE SONS, the sensational local 3yo who won the Woodstock Stakes earlier this season for owner Howard Walton and trainer Sid Attard is apparently not well at Guelph Equine Centre. The
The result of the BISON CITY STAKES (Sealy Hill won but was disqualified to 3rd for drifting in through the stretch) has apparently been appealed by MARK CASSE, who trains the filly for Eugene Melnyk.Pat Husbands rode Sealy Hill. Street Sounds was placed first. If the result of the disqualification is appealed, the purse money will be withheld until a verdict is found.
MIKE FOX works tomorrow at Fort Erie, not Monday.
2yo SHANAWI'S BOY, who debuted Thursday at Woodbine for Ninela Thoroughbreds and trainer Abraham Katryan, broke down in the race and was apparently put down.
FRIDAY AT WOODBINE
Tiller and MacKenzie have good days
Horses still have to be quite close to the pace on the Polytrack as the weather heats up. The first 2 winners at route distances yesterday led from starter to finish. Canadian-bred QUITE A KNIGHTMARE won an allowance race,race 2, for owner/breeder Huntington Stud Farm and trainer Brian Ross.
Trainer DAVE MACLEAN, who is quite ill, was in the winner’s circle for the 3rd race yesterday when his trainee ONEMOREBOURBON was stubborn on the pace and led throughout the 7 furlongs in the $20,000 claiming race.
Robert Tiller won the 4th race with Kentucky-bred CRACK IT OPEN, a maiden in the a route race and he came from well off the pace in a very slow event.
Tiller also won race 6 with METHODTOMYMADNESS, a
JOHN MACKENZIE finished 1st and 2nd in race 5. His STACK THE PADS (By Millenium Allstar), a BC bred for Mel Russell had a dream trip behind the pace duel of
Ontario-bred swept the last 3 races – WISDOM FURY (Whiskey Wisdom) rallied wide to win an allowance race for Scott Lung Choy Chen and trainer Peter Berringer. CELTIC SWORD won her career debut for Takes to Make and Mark Casse. The Bold Executive filly won for $32,000 claiming. And BIRSAY beat 2 dashes – DASH IT DARLING and DASHINGALLTHEWAY in the finale, an allowance race on turf. The filly is by Bold Executive out of Win du Jour and is owned by New Venture Stables and trained by Mike DePaulo.
EARL OF CLARENDON
A race named after the Earl of Clarendon started in 1926 and still goes today. The Clarendon is now an
Today’s Clarendon has a filly in the field who could be favoured. WOODFORD RACING’S SPIN MOVE (Mutakddim) was a smart maiden winner in her 2nd career start for trainer Mark Casse. The race was a key one.
DONERAILE GEM, a private purchase by John Cardella last year after the local yearling sale, was apparently astonished that the colt won for $50,000 claiming first time out after average workouts.
Last year’s sale topping yearling BRODERICK (Hold That Tiger) has been scratched from the Clarendon.
Champion CATCH THE THRILL, last year’s top 2yo filly, is back in action in race 4. She had knee surgery last year. The 1 1/8 mile turf test is a stern one with stakes winners SPRUNG and SILKY SMOOTH in the mix, among others.
The 10th race is a maiden allowance featuring well-bred beginner PRIZED OF THE WEST (Gone West from stakes winner Prized Stamp) and CURLY GIRL, who makes her first start at 3 and is a Canadian-bred by Golden Missile.
FORT ERIE, July 6 – Queen’s Plate runner-up Alezzandro arrived at
The three-year-old son of High Yield is expected to breeze over the
“I think he needs a work over the dirt surface at
Unraced as a two-year-old, Alezzandro will be making his fourth lifetime start in the second jewel of
A small but talented field is expected for this year’s renewal. Probable starters include Plate winner Mike Fox, third place finisher Jiggs Coz, Daaher, who finished fourth and sixth place finisher Marchfield.
Mike Fox and Marchfield will also train over the
Government panel formed to study racing industry
The three-member panel is comprised of former Ontario Racing Commission chair Stanley Sadinsky, former Brant Member of Parliament Jane Stewart and racing industry veteran William McDonnell.
Jane Holmes, vice president of corporate affairs for Woodbine Entertainment Group, said the development of such a panel is needed to preserve the industry’s ranking as the second leading agricultural business behind dairy and poultry.
“In order to move our industry forward we have to address some of the issues facing racing today,” said Holmes. “Some aspects of the industry have been challenged by competition, like internet gaming and by other jurisdictions, like Yonkers Raceway in
Holmes said that because the racing and breeding industry is impacted by so many arms of the government – agriculture, government services, gaming, finance – a plan needs to be set in place to bring all segments, racing, breeding and horsemen – together.
The Ontario Horse Racing Industry Association was the umbrella group for all segments of the industry at one time but has been dormant for the past 18 months.
Holmes also said that integrity in the industry, referring to drug use in horses that has plagued racing, in particular in the last two years, will also be on the areas of issue but in a “much broader context”.
“The industry has been so successful in recent years as its gone from employing 45,000 people to 60,000,” said Holmes. “It benefits so many aspects of the rural economy.”
Government Services Minister Gerry Phillips said the horse racing industry has “seen significant changes in the past decade, and this review will help identify ways to make sure the industry remains strong and viable well into the future.”
The panel will seek input from horse racing stakeholders, government agencies and members of the public to develop a strategic plan for the industry and report on the findings next spring.
RECENT CANADIAN-BRED WINNERS (in other places)
A NICE SPLASH – yesterday at Churchill, 1 mile allowance on turf, 7yo gelding by That’s a Nice out of a Bucksplasher mare. Bred by Irish Acres.
MR SOUL - Aptitude - Tab a Cat, bred by Anderson, Pollock and Cudney. 2 wins in brief career, latest in allowance.
WIZZEN MIZZEN - Mizzen Mast colt won a MSW at Hollywood in his 2nd statrt with a 77 Beyer, Bred by Rod Ferguson.
posted by Jen Morrison @ 9:15 AM
3 Comments:
At 9:24 PM,
Anonymous said…
With reference to Friday July 6, the 5th race at Woodbine. I detected a betting coup in the making, cashed a $168 exactor, 20x, and Anon 9:59, has asked me to outline the reasons supporting this bet.
Although I play the horses for a living, and usually guard what I say, I am willing to outline my thoughts to other players, as the reasons for making this bet are
simply out of reach of 99% of the players, because they do not have the time, patience and discipline to devote to this game.
• the time....the player must be at the track everyday
• the patience….the player must restrict his betting to live racing only
• the discipline…the player must make notes on every race, whether betting or not
The reasons for making the bet are complex, and involve a determination that:
1) the horse is a contender today
2) the horse signals readiness in its pre-race warm-up
3) a significant intangible factor exists
Let me explain the above factors:
1) The “speed/shape ratings” you personally use, must show the horse is not outclassed in pace and fractional shape. (Note: Final time is irrelevant)
2) To determine factor 2 above, you must be very familiar with the thoughts, ideas and concepts of Joe Takach, (in my opinion, the greatest handicapper ever).
3) This factor is hard to quantify, but something about the race must be problematic. In my opinion, the major intangibles are: a false favourite, 2 horses entered by the same trainer and uncoupled in the betting, a top contender failing a visual inspection, huge odds difference today compared to last 2 races, etc.
For the race in question, here are my thoughts on the above factors:
1) trainer McKenzie’s horses “Stack” & “Kruzn” were top rated “shape” contenders.
2) Stack had a galloping 2-turn warm-up (for meaning, refer to Joe Takach’s writings) and hence was primed for the race. Kruzn, the longer priced horse was a “no-gallop” (for meaning, once again refer to Joe Takach), but my private daily notes revealed that in this scenario, this particular horse, with this particular trainer, was ready to "go". (generally, Joe advocates not betting a “no-gallop” horse, unless ones daily notes can override. And here is where 99% of horseplayers lose out. They do not have the daily notes required because they cannot be at the track everyday, and the majority of the ones who are there everyday, are in the lounge drinking and socializing) I love it, keep drinking boys!!
3) In this race, there were 2 very significant intangibles. 1st there was a false favourite, trainer Sid Attard’s horse was simply outclassed. 2nd there was trainer with 2 horses in the race, (very very significant) which were not coupled in the betting.
At 2 minutes to post-time, Kruzn was so primed that the jockey could hardly contain him, and given that Stack was already primed via the 2-turn warm-up, a 1-2 finish of this “entry” seemed inevitable. So I bet.
Despite my personal cash flow from this race, it is my belief that multiple entries from the SAME trainer should always be coupled in the betting, otherwise the door is open to legal manipulation of results, which as a matter of record, has most definitely happened in the past!! I know because I’ve been a victim!!
This particular race was honestly run, although in my opinion, the connections wanted a finish in an order reverse to the actual. However, Kruzn got a very unexpected pace challenge, and was softened up.
To protect bettors, from dishonest trainers, the ORC should not allow entries from the same trainer to run uncoupled. If integrity means anything, the ORC should act now, but unfortunately, leadership at the ORC is lacking. Maybe the recently announced government review of racing can instill some action and appoint a leadership capable of leading. Until then, I will pay very close attention to those races, where a trainer has more than one horse entered.
NOTE: This posting took up a lot of my time and effort. I do not have enough spare time to write any more such postings. Hence I will be unable to answer any further questions, (if any). Thank you.
At 8:12 AM,
Anonymous said…
You are basically saying that the two best horses ran one two. Why does it matter they were trained by the same person and not coupled?
According to your analysis you should have bet the exactor regardless of the trainer or his intentions.
Also, sore horses sometimes need a bit of a stretch before the race to be ready to run. Stack was away over a month, and you don't generally take that kind of time off if you have a sound horse unless it is of allowance or stake caliber. In this case, though, it is hard to determine because the 50k three year old sprint didn't go for over a month and he did have 4 works and the only other option was A other than. McKenzie may just have figured that he didn't want to burn out KruzN because he knew he was sending him, and he wanted to get the other horse wound up because he felt he might come up short otherwise. Maybe we should ask him:)
It was no shock that KruzN had company. According to my TSNhorse form, Falcon Lake had an E/P 4 rating, while Stack had an E/P 5 and KruzN had an E/P 6. The rest of the field were P or S horses.
At 10:22 AM,
Anonymous said…
Thanks for taking the time to answer my question Anon 9.24.
It still doesn't give me good reason to couple horses, let them run on their merits and the handicappers decide. After all, that is what you did yourself.
"a 1-2 finish of this “entry” seemed inevitable." - Seemed Probable and you factored in all the information and bet accordingly.
I guess we'll always disagree.
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